June 17, 2025

What are Polymetallic Nodules? A Trillion-Dollar Treasure

The deep-sea mining frontier and its critical metals

Hidden Treasure on the Ocean Floor

Thousands of meters below the ocean's surface, scattered across vast stretches of the seafloor, lie potato-sized rocks that could reshape the global economy. These polymetallic nodules, found in areas like the Clarion-Clipperton Zone (CCZ) between Hawaii and Mexico, contain critical metals essential for modern technology: nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese.

With estimates suggesting trillions of dollars worth of these metals lie waiting on the ocean floor, polymetallic nodules have become the focus of an emerging industry that could fundamentally change how we source raw materials—while raising profound environmental questions.

What Are Polymetallic Nodules?

Formation and Composition

Polymetallic nodules are mineral concretions that form on the deep ocean floor through a process taking millions of years. They grow extremely slowly—typically just a few millimeters per million years—as metals precipitate from seawater and sediment.

Key Metals in Nodules

  • Manganese (24-30%): Steel production and battery cathodes
  • Nickel (1.3-1.5%): Stainless steel and EV batteries
  • Copper (1.0-1.2%): Electronics and electrical wiring
  • Cobalt (0.2-0.3%): Lithium-ion batteries and superalloys
  • Rare Earth Elements: Present in trace amounts

While these percentages may seem small, they're often higher concentrations than found in many terrestrial mines, and the nodules require no crushing or grinding—they can be processed directly.

Where Are They Found?

The Clarion-Clipperton Zone (CCZ)

The CCZ is the most promising area for polymetallic nodule mining. This vast region in the Pacific Ocean spans approximately 4.5 million square kilometers (larger than India) and sits at depths of 4,000-6,000 meters.

  • Estimated reserves: 21 billion tons of nodules containing:
    • - 5.95 billion tons of manganese
    • - 274 million tons of nickel
    • - 44 million tons of cobalt
    • - 290 million tons of copper

Other Notable Locations

  • Peru Basin: Southeast Pacific Ocean
  • Indian Ocean: Central and northern regions
  • Penrhyn Basin: South Pacific near the Cook Islands

The Trillion-Dollar Opportunity

Economic Value

Conservative estimates place the value of metals in the CCZ alone at over $8 trillion at current market prices. However, the actual economic value depends on:

  • • Extraction costs (currently estimated at $2-5 per kg of nodules)
  • • Processing and transportation expenses
  • • Future metal prices and demand
  • • Technological improvements in mining efficiency
  • • Regulatory and environmental compliance costs

Why Now? The Battery Metal Boom

Several factors are driving renewed interest in deep-sea mining:

Electric Vehicle Revolution

EV batteries require massive amounts of nickel, cobalt, and copper. Global EV sales are projected to reach 40 million units annually by 2030, creating unprecedented demand for battery metals.

Supply Chain Concerns

Current terrestrial mining is concentrated in a few countries, creating geopolitical vulnerabilities. The CCZ is in international waters, potentially offering supply diversification.

Terrestrial Mining Limitations

Easily accessible land-based deposits are depleting, and new mines face increasing environmental resistance and permitting challenges.

How Would Deep-Sea Mining Work?

The Collection Process

  1. Remote-Operated Collectors: Robotic vehicles traverse the seafloor, gathering nodules like a vacuum cleaner
  2. Riser System: Nodules are pumped up through a vertical pipe system to the surface vessel
  3. Surface Processing: Initial sorting and dewatering occurs on the mining vessel
  4. Transport: Nodules are shipped to land-based processing facilities
  5. Metal Extraction: Industrial processes separate and refine individual metals

Key Companies and Players

  • The Metals Company (TMC): Leading commercial developer
  • Global Sea Mineral Resources (GSR): Subsidiary of DEME Group
  • DeepGreen Metals: Focused on battery metals
  • China Minmetals: State-backed Chinese mining company
  • Various national sponsors: Including Korea, Japan, and Russia

Environmental Concerns and Controversies

Potential Impacts

  • Habitat Destruction: The deep sea hosts unique ecosystems that may take centuries to recover from disturbance
  • Sediment Plumes: Collection creates clouds of sediment that can spread for kilometers, affecting marine life
  • Noise and Light Pollution: Equipment may disrupt species adapted to dark, silent environments
  • Biodiversity Loss: Many deep-sea species remain undiscovered; mining could cause extinctions before we know they exist
  • Carbon Cycle Disruption: The deep sea plays a crucial role in carbon sequestration

The Scientific Divide

The scientific community is split on deep-sea mining:

  • Proponents argue: It could be less environmentally damaging than terrestrial mining, which involves deforestation, toxic waste ponds, and habitat destruction at massive scales
  • Critics counter: We know too little about deep-sea ecosystems to mine responsibly, and the impacts could be irreversible

Regulation and International Governance

The International Seabed Authority (ISA)

The ISA, a UN body based in Jamaica, is tasked with regulating deep-sea mining in international waters. As of 2025, the ISA is developing a comprehensive regulatory framework, but faces challenges:

  • • Balancing economic development with environmental protection
  • • Establishing enforceable environmental standards
  • • Ensuring benefits are shared equitably among nations
  • • Monitoring compliance in remote ocean regions

Current Status (2025)

Several countries and companies have exploration licenses, but commercial-scale mining hasn't begun. The ISA is under pressure to finalize regulations, with some nations pushing for precautionary approaches while others advocate for proceeding with strict environmental safeguards.

Alternatives and Future Outlook

Other Options

  • Improved Recycling: Better battery recycling could reduce demand for virgin metals by 30-50%
  • New Battery Technologies: Sodium-ion and solid-state batteries may reduce reliance on cobalt and nickel
  • Improved Terrestrial Mining: Better environmental practices and reopening old mines with modern techniques
  • Demand Reduction: More efficient products and circular economy approaches

Timeline Projections

  • 2026-2027: ISA expected to finalize mining regulations
  • 2027-2030: First commercial mining operations likely to begin
  • 2030s: Industry could scale significantly if environmental concerns are adequately addressed
  • 2040+: Deep-sea mining could supply 10-30% of battery metals if successful

The Path Forward

The debate over polymetallic nodules encapsulates a fundamental tension of our era: how to meet the material demands of a growing, technology-dependent civilization while preserving the ecosystems that sustain us.

The case for proceeding: Without these metals, the transition to clean energy could stall, and terrestrial mining's environmental costs may ultimately be higher.

The case for caution: Rushing into deep-sea mining before understanding the consequences could cause irreversible harm to ecosystems we barely understand.

Conclusion

Polymetallic nodules represent one of Earth's last great mineral frontiers—a trillion-dollar treasure that could help power our technological future or become a cautionary tale about exploitation of the unknown. As the ISA works toward regulatory frameworks and companies prepare for commercial operations, the decisions made in the next few years will echo for generations, determining whether we can access these resources responsibly or whether the deep sea should remain off-limits to industrial mining.